Summer 2014, Vol. 39, No. 1, Pages 7-43
Posted Online August 28, 2014.
(doi:10.1162/ISEC_a_00165)
© 2014 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
The Lessons of 1914 for East Asia Today: Missing the Trees for the Forest
Ja Ian ChongJa Ian Chong is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the National University of Singapore.
Todd H. HallTodd H. Hall is Associate Professor in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Oxford and Fellow in Politics at St. Anne's College.
The importance of World War I for understanding contemporary East Asia lies not in the ubiquitous analogy drawn between Anglo-German antagonism and contemporary U.S.-China relations, but rather in the more specific lessons the period preceding its outbreak offers concerning the sources of instability and conflict among states. More precisely, these lessons relate to the challenges posed by complex security arrangements, the dual-edged nature of nationalism, and the dangerous dynamics that can emerge during repeated crises. Appreciating how these factors contributed to mounting tensions and eventually the onset of war in Europe a century ago can enhance efforts to understand and manage tensions in East Asia today.