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Review of Economics and Statistics

Quarterly (February, May, August, November)
189 pp. per issue, 8 1/2 x 11
Founded: 1917
ISSN 0034-6535
E-ISSN 1530-9142
2008 ISI Impact Factor: 2.233

Review of Economics and Statistics

November 2003, Vol. 85, No. 4, Pages 828-843
Posted Online March 13, 2006.
(doi:10.1162/003465303772815754)
© 2003 President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology
The Effects of Mandatory Seat Belt Laws on Driving Behavior and Traffic Fatalities

Alma Cohen

National Bureau of Economic Research

Liran Einav

Stanford University

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This paper investigates the effects of mandatory seat belt laws on driver behavior and traffic fatalities. Using a unique panel data set on seat belt usage in all U.S. jurisdictions, we analyze how such laws, by influencing seat belt use, affect the incidence of traffic fatalities. Allowing for the endogeneity of seat belt usage, we find that such usage decreases overall traffic fatalities. The magnitude of this effect, however, is significantly smaller than the estimate used by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. In addition, we do not find significant support for the compensating-behavior theory, which suggests that seat belt use also has an indirect adverse effect on fatalities by encouraging careless driving. Finally, we identify factors, especially the type of enforcement used, that make seat belt laws more effective in increasing seat belt usage.

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